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Model 1.1

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CA Batna v Khroub

CA Batna
1–0Full time
Khroub

Ligue 2 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57
CA Batna 1–0 Khroub CA BATNA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said CA Batna win52%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.345
The market’s Brier score0.226

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CA Batna win at 52%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: CA Batna 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–29–19
  3. 1′KICK-OFF CA Batna v Khroub
  4. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' CA Batna win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  5. 41′We said CA Batna at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–43–17
  6. 43′We said CA Batna at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–16
  7. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was CA Batna win 39%)
  8. 45′HALF-TIME CA Batna 0–0 Khroub
  9. 46′SECOND HALF CA Batna 0–0 Khroub
  10. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' CA Batna 1–0 Khroub
  11. 54′We said CA Batna at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  12. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' CA Batna win: 52% at kick-off, 85% now
  13. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' CA Batna win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
  14. 56′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 86–13–2
  15. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' CA Batna 1–0 Khroub
  16. 70′We said CA Batna at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
  17. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' CA Batna win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
  18. 83′We said CA Batna at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–4–0
  19. FTFULL TIME CA Batna 1–0 Khroub
  20. FTCA Batna 1–0 Khroub · CA Batna win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

CA Batna win52%
Draw28%
Khroub win20%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

CA Batna

Khroub

4Days since last match4
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
14Khroub4+16
25CA Batna4−22

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ca batna winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off
52% The market64%
Us52%
Market64%

We make CA Batna a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:1713 OCT 14:48
Our probability · ca batna win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
CA Batna win52%64%−11
Draw28%25%+3
Khroub win20%11%+8
Over 2.5 goals32%37%−6
Both teams to score34%33%+1
Over 1.5 goals58%62%−4
Over 3.5 goals14%19%−5
CA Batna or draw80%89%−8
CA Batna clean sheet52%––
Khroub clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.4%
0123450 14.1 9.7 3.1 1 18.4 11.2 3.9 2 11.7 7.5 2.5 3 5.3 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+CA Batna down, Khroub across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.52 of 8
Both scored3 of 8
Last meetingsKHR 1–0 CAB · CAB 1–0 KHR · CAB 5–1 KHR · KHR 4–0 CAB

Form · last six in Ligue 2

CA BATNA

WDDLLD2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

KHROUB

WWDWDD1–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1RC Kouba4+1012
2Blida4+410
3USM Annaba4+69
4Azazga4+28
5MSP Batna4+28
6MC Saida3+27
7Nrb Beni Oulbene4+27
8Usm El Harrach4+17
9Sidi Benali407
10NC Magra4−17
11JSM Skikda3+26
12ASM Oran4+16
13MO Constantine4+16
14Khroub4+16
15GC Mascara3+15
16WA Mostaganem405
17MO Bejaia3+14
18Paradou AC304
19Mostaganem4−14
20IRB Nezla3−14
21WA Tlemcen3−14
22Hussein Dey4−23
23Koléa3−33
24Teleghma4−22
25CA Batna4−22
26El Bayadh4−22
27US Chaouia4−42
28JS Jijel3−31
29Tiaret4−41
30Taghit4−61
31CR Béni Thour3−40

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.