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Azazga v MO Bejaia

Azazga

2–1Full time

MO Bejaia

Ligue 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia MO BEJAIA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said MO Bejaia win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.663

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said MO Bejaia win at 36%.
1′KICK-OFF Azazga v MO Bejaia
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
71′We said MO Bejaia at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 2–1 · 84–14–2
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' MO Bejaia win: 36% at kick-off, 2% now
71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Azazga win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was MO Bejaia win 2%)
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' MO Bejaia win: 36% at kick-off, 2% now
72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Azazga win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was MO Bejaia win 2%)
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' MO Bejaia win: 36% at kick-off, 2% now
73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Azazga win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was MO Bejaia win 2%)
74′We said MO Bejaia at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' MO Bejaia win: 36% at kick-off, 2% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Azazga win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was MO Bejaia win 2%)
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' MO Bejaia win: 36% at kick-off, 1% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Azazga win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was MO Bejaia win 1%)
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
FTFULL TIME Azazga 2–1 MO Bejaia
FTAzazga 2–1 MO Bejaia · MO Bejaia win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Azazga win34%

Draw30%

MO Bejaia win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mo bejaia winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

36% The market–

Us36%

We make MO Bejaia a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Azazga win	34%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
MO Bejaia win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Azazga or draw	64%	–	–
Azazga clean sheet	38%	–	–
MO Bejaia clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.6%

0123450 14.4 14.6 7.1 2.6 1 13.8 12.3 6.3 2.2 2 6.5 6.1 3.0 3 2.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Azazga down, MO Bejaia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,456 Ligue 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.1% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Azazga at home: 1.00 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 1). MO Bejaia away: 1.83 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Azazga, 1.01 for MO Bejaia. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligue 2

AZAZGA

DWD2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0

MO BEJAIA

WWWDDW1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	4	+10	12
2	Blida	4	+4	10
3	USM Annaba	4	+6	9
4	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
5	MC Saida	3	+2	7
6	Nrb Beni Oulbene	4	+2	7
7	Usm El Harrach	4	+1	7
8	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
9	NC Magra	4	−1	7
10	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6
11	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
12	MO Constantine	4	+1	6
13	Khroub	4	+1	6
14	Azazga	3	+1	5
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5
16	WA Mostaganem	4	0	5
17	MO Bejaia	2	+2	4
18	Paradou AC	3	0	4
19	Mostaganem	4	−1	4
20	IRB Nezla	3	−1	4
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4
22	Hussein Dey	4	−2	3
23	Koléa	3	−3	3
24	Teleghma	4	−2	2
25	CA Batna	4	−2	2
26	El Bayadh	4	−2	2
27	US Chaouia	4	−4	2
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1
29	Tiaret	4	−4	1
30	Taghit	4	−6	1
31	CR Béni Thour	3	−4	0