Home › Football › Ligue 2 › ASM Oran v Taghit

ASM Oran v Taghit

ASM Oran

6–1Full time

Taghit

Ligue 2 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57

ASM Oran 6–1 Taghit ASM ORAN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said ASM Oran win~~64%

~~The market said~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.195

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.091

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said ASM Oran win at 64%.
1′Much as we predicted: ASM Oran was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 65–23–12
1′KICK-OFF ASM Oran v Taghit
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' ASM Oran 1–0 Taghit
26′We published ASM Oran at 64%. Our model now makes it 88%. 1–0 · 88–10–2
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' ASM Oran win: 64% at kick-off, 88% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 88–10–2
45′HALF-TIME ASM Oran 1–0 Taghit
46′SECOND HALF ASM Oran 1–0 Taghit
53′We published ASM Oran at 64%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' ASM Oran 2–0 Taghit
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' ASM Oran win: 64% at kick-off, 99% now
59′⚽ GOAL · 59' ASM Oran 2–0 Taghit
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' ASM Oran 3–0 Taghit
64′We published ASM Oran at 64%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
66′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' ASM Oran 3–1 Taghit
68′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' ASM Oran 4–1 Taghit
76′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' ASM Oran 5–1 Taghit
86′6 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
90′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 6–1 · 100–0–0
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' ASM Oran 6–1 Taghit
FTFULL TIME ASM Oran 6–1 Taghit
FTASM Oran 6–1 Taghit · ASM Oran win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

ASM Oran win64%

Draw23%

Taghit win13%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

ASM Oran

Taghit

4Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
30	Taghit	4	−6	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asm oran winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

64% The market76%

Us64%

~~Market~~76%

We make ASM Oran a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · asm oran win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ASM Oran win	64%	76%	−12
Draw	23%	18%	+5
Taghit win	13%	6%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	38%	44%	−6
Both teams to score	33%	24%	+9
Over 1.5 goals	64%	67%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	19%	24%	−6
ASM Oran or draw	87%	94%	−7
ASM Oran clean sheet	59%	–	–
Taghit clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.5%

0123450 11.4 6.6 1 18.5 9.2 2.7 2 14.6 7.7 2.1 3 8.3 4.3 4 3.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ASM Oran down, Taghit across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,457 Ligue 2 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

ASM Oran at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Taghit away: 0.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for ASM Oran, 0.54 for Taghit. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Ligue 2 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Ligue 2

ASM ORAN

LWLWLW0–1 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–0

TAGHIT

LLLD0–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	4	+10	12
2	Blida	4	+4	10
3	USM Annaba	4	+6	9
4	Azazga	4	+2	8
5	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
6	MC Saida	3	+2	7
7	Nrb Beni Oulbene	4	+2	7
8	Usm El Harrach	4	+1	7
9	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
10	NC Magra	4	−1	7
11	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6
12	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
13	MO Constantine	4	+1	6
14	Khroub	4	+1	6
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5
16	WA Mostaganem	4	0	5
17	MO Bejaia	3	+1	4
18	Paradou AC	3	0	4
19	Mostaganem	4	−1	4
20	IRB Nezla	3	−1	4
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4
22	Hussein Dey	4	−2	3
23	Koléa	3	−3	3
24	Teleghma	4	−2	2
25	CA Batna	4	−2	2
26	El Bayadh	4	−2	2
27	US Chaouia	4	−4	2
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1
29	Tiaret	4	−4	1
30	Taghit	4	−6	1
31	CR Béni Thour	3	−4	0