US Biskra v MC Alger prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

US BiskraDrawMC Alger

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · MC Alger 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MC Alger are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: US Biskra 22%, draw 32%, MC Alger 46%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on US Biskra v MC AlgerBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

US Biskra win22%

Draw32%

MC Alger win46%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 7

Venue18 February Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

US Biskra

MC Alger

9Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

Last match: 23 Oct · CAF Champions League

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	MC Alger	3	+3	7
16	US Biskra	6	−9	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mc alger winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make MC Alger a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · US Biskra v MC Alger~~0.65 – 1.11

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 10 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 2 v 7~~16 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
US Biskra win	22%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
MC Alger win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
US Biskra or draw	54%	–	–
US Biskra clean sheet	33%	–	–
MC Alger clean sheet	52%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 18.8%

0123450 17.7 18.8 10.5 4.0 1 11.0 12.3 6.7 2.5 2 3.7 4.0 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+US Biskra down, MC Alger across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,310 Ligue 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 29.5% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 0.62 goals a meeting; 0 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

US Biskra at home: 0.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). MC Alger away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.65 goals for US Biskra, 1.11 for MC Alger. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~0.62

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 8

~~Both scored~~1 of 8

~~Last meetings~~USB 0–1 MCA · MCA 0–0 USB · USB 1–0 MCA · MCA 1–0 USB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 10 Sept

US BISKRA

DLDLLL2–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 1–4

MC ALGER

WWD2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MC Oran	6	+5	14
2	JS Kabylie	6	+7	13
3	CR Belouizdad	5	+4	13
4	MB Rouisset	6	+3	12
5	USM Alger	5	+3	10
6	Olympique Akbou	6	+3	10
7	JS El Biar	7	+1	8
8	MC Alger	3	+3	7
9	CS Constantine	7	−4	7
10	Ben Aknoun	5	0	6
11	ES Setif	5	+2	5
12	Khenchela	6	−3	5
13	Témouchent	6	−4	5
14	ASO Chlef	6	−5	3
15	JS Saoura	5	−6	2
16	US Biskra	6	−9	2