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Témouchent v ASO Chlef

Témouchent
1–1Full time
ASO Chlef

Ligue 1 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 20:31
Témouchent 1–1 ASO Chlef TÉMOUCHENT WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Témouchent win42%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.729
The market’s Brier score0.719

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Témouchent win at 42%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Témouchent was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–31–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Témouchent v ASO Chlef
  4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Témouchent
  5. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Témouchent win 35%)
  6. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Témouchent win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Témouchent 0–0 ASO Chlef
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Témouchent 0–0 ASO Chlef
  9. 47′We said Témouchent at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–48–22
  10. 51′We said Témouchent at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–21
  11. 53′Témouchent score on 53′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  12. 53′We published Témouchent at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  13. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Témouchent 1–0 ASO Chlef
  14. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Témouchent win: 42% at kick-off, 80% now
  15. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Témouchent win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
  16. 54′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  17. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Témouchent
  18. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Témouchent win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
  19. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Témouchent
  20. 67′We published Témouchent at 42%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  21. 69′ASO Chlef find the net on 69′. 1–1. 1–1 · 19–66–14
  22. 69′We said Témouchent at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–14
  23. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Témouchent 1–1 ASO Chlef
  24. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Témouchent win: 42% at kick-off, 19% now
  25. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Témouchent win 19%)
  26. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' ASO Chlef · On: Z. Motrani · Off: K. Avotor
  27. 76′We said Témouchent at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
  28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Témouchent · On: M. Nawfal · Off: A. Meddah Corrected
  29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Témouchent · On: M. Itim · Off: M. Zaalouk
  30. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Témouchent win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  31. 82′We said Témouchent at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–7
  32. 89′We said Témouchent at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  33. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' ASO Chlef · On: Z. Abdelli · Off: O. Diakite
  34. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' ASO Chlef · On: M. Abboub · Off: E. Ledlum
  35. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Témouchent win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  36. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Témouchent · On: A. Belkacemi · Off: I. Saihi
  37. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Témouchent · On: S. A. Aissaoui · Off: M. H. Hedroug
  38. FTFULL TIME Témouchent 1–1 ASO Chlef
  39. FTTémouchent 1–1 ASO Chlef · Témouchent win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Témouchent are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Témouchent 42%, draw 31%, ASO Chlef 28%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Témouchent v ASO ChlefBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Témouchent win42%
Draw31%
ASO Chlef win28%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:45

RoundMatchday 6

Line-ups

Témouchent

ASO Chlef

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Témouchent

ASO Chlef

4Days since last match5

Last match: 14 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

Last match: 13 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Témouchent5−44
14ASO Chlef5−52

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Témouchent

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Boukerrit

2 M. Larbi

4 I. Chahrour

9 M. Zaalouk

11 M. H. Hedroug

12 R. Bounoua

14 B. Boubaker

15 K. Baaziz

21 A. Meddah

25 H. Boutamina

26 I. Saihi

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · G. Wael

13 · N. Merdja

16 · A. Morcely

17 · E. K. Khodja

20 · M. Itim

22 · S. A. Aissaoui

23 · A. Belkacemi

24 · S. Safaga

27 · M. Toumi

ASO Chlef

Formation not confirmed

2 A. Benchouya

3 O. Benattia

6 M. Belaribi

12 I. Moussa

13 S. Lamrani

14 O. Diakite

22 E. Ledlum

25 K. Avotor

26 A. Debbari

28 A. Hamdani

30 C. Rahmani

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · A. Tergou

4 · Z. Abdelli

7 · Z. Motrani

8 · M. Abboub

11 · Y. Belaribi

17 · S. Aiboud

18 · D. Belalem

27 · A. Feddal

29 · M. D. Bounoua

Our number · témouchent winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:38 · locked at kick-off
42% The market41%
Us42%
Market41%

We make Témouchent a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Témouchent v ASO Chlef1.13 – 0.85
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 5 SeptW1 D1 L3 · W0 D2 L3
Table places · points 4 v 213 v 14
The market · Témouchent win41% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 12 OCT 03:5918 OCT 16:50
Our probability · Témouchent win The market, margin stripped

Published at 45%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Témouchent win42%41%+1
Draw31%31%0
ASO Chlef win28%28%0
Over 2.5 goals32%38%−6
Both teams to score38%45%−7
Over 1.5 goals58%63%−5
Over 3.5 goals14%21%−7
Témouchent or draw72%72%0
Témouchent clean sheet43%––
ASO Chlef clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.3%
0123450 14.5 11.7 5.1 1 15.3 12.8 5.4 2 8.7 7.2 3.1 3 3.4 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Témouchent down, ASO Chlef across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 5 Sept

TÉMOUCHENT

DLWLL1–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–2

ASO CHLEF

DLLLD3–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1MC Oran5+513
2CR Belouizdad5+413
3USM Alger5+310
4MB Rouisset5+29
5MC Alger3+37
6JS El Biar6+17
7JS Kabylie4+17
8Olympique Akbou507
9CS Constantine6−17
10Ben Aknoun506
11ES Setif5+25
12Khenchela505
13Témouchent5−44
14ASO Chlef5−52
15JS Saoura4−52
16US Biskra5−62

The competition's standings before kick-off.