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Olympique Akbou v CS Constantine

Olympique Akbou

3–0Full time

CS Constantine

Ligue 1 · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 18:02

Olympique Akbou 3–0 CS Constantine OLYMPIQUE AKBOU WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Olympique Akbou win~~48%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.410

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.549

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Olympique Akbou win at 48%.
1′Much as we predicted: Olympique Akbou was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–28–24
1′KICK-OFF Olympique Akbou v CS Constantine
13′Olympique Akbou find the net on 13′. 0–0 · 45–31–24
14′We published Olympique Akbou at 48%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Olympique Akbou 1–0 CS Constantine
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Olympique Akbou win: 48% at kick-off, 76% now
19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' CS Constantine
26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Olympique Akbou
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Olympique Akbou win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
33′🟨 YELLOW · 22' H. Mawali · Olympique Akbou
34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' CS Constantine
34′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Y. Agbagno · CS Constantine
45′HALF-TIME Olympique Akbou 1–0 CS Constantine
45′SECOND HALF Olympique Akbou 1–0 CS Constantine
47′We published Olympique Akbou at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
47′A goal for Olympique Akbou on 47′. 1–0 · 80–16–4
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' CS Constantine · On: A. Lahmeri · Off: H. Djaouchi
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Olympique Akbou · On: T. Addadi · Off: H. Messiad
48′We published Olympique Akbou at 48%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
48′⚽ GOAL · 47' Olympique Akbou 2–0 CS Constantine
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Olympique Akbou win: 48% at kick-off, 96% now
57′Olympique Akbou find the net on 57′. 2–0 · 97–2–0
57′We published Olympique Akbou at 48%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
57′SUBSTITUTION · 54' CS Constantine · On: O. Meddahi · Off: M. Bakir
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Olympique Akbou 3–0 CS Constantine
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Olympique Akbou win: 48% at kick-off, over 99% now
58′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' CS Constantine · On: M. Bouzekri · Off: D. Bizimana
67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Olympique Akbou
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Olympique Akbou · On: B. Fonseca · Off: F. Tahar
84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Olympique Akbou · On: G. Belgacem · Off: M. Sediri
85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' CS Constantine · On: K. Chaban · Off: Y. Agbagno
90′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Olympique Akbou · On: K. Bousseliou · Off: W. Zamoum
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Olympique Akbou · On: I. Harouna · Off: R. Hitala
FTFULL TIME Olympique Akbou 3–0 CS Constantine
FTOlympique Akbou 3–0 CS Constantine · Olympique Akbou win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympique Akbou are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olympique Akbou 48%, draw 28%, CS Constantine 24%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Olympique Akbou v CS ConstantineBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Olympique Akbou win48%

Draw28%

CS Constantine win24%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 15:15

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olympique Akbou

CS Constantine

7Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Olympique Akbou	5	0	7
9	CS Constantine	6	−1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympique akbou winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

48% The market40%

Us48%

~~Market~~40%

We make Olympique Akbou a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olympique Akbou v CS Constantine~~1.37 – 0.89

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept~~W2 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 7~~8 v 9

~~The market · Olympique Akbou win~~40% · ours 48%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Olympique Akbou win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olympique Akbou win	48%	40%	+8
Draw	28%	32%	−4
CS Constantine win	24%	29%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	39%	37%	+2
Both teams to score	44%	43%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	66%	61%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	19%	19%	0
Olympique Akbou or draw	76%	71%	+5
Olympique Akbou clean sheet	41%	–	–
CS Constantine clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.1%

0123450 10.8 9.2 4.2 1 14.1 12.6 5.6 2 9.7 8.5 3.8 3 4.5 3.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympique Akbou down, CS Constantine across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,308 Ligue 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 28.6% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.60 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olympique Akbou at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). CS Constantine away: 1.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.37 goals for Olympique Akbou, 0.89 for CS Constantine. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.60

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~OLY 1–0 CSC · CSC 2–1 OLY · OLY 0–0 CSC · OLY 1–0 CSC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept

OLYMPIQUE AKBOU

WLLDW2–0 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 2–1

CS CONSTANTINE

DWLWLL1–1 · 3–0 · 1–5 · 4–0 · 0–2 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MC Oran	5	+5	13
2	CR Belouizdad	5	+4	13
3	MB Rouisset	6	+3	12
4	JS Kabylie	5	+4	10
5	USM Alger	5	+3	10
6	MC Alger	3	+3	7
7	JS El Biar	6	+1	7
8	Olympique Akbou	5	0	7
9	CS Constantine	6	−1	7
10	Ben Aknoun	5	0	6
11	ES Setif	5	+2	5
12	Khenchela	5	0	5
13	Témouchent	6	−4	5
14	ASO Chlef	6	−5	3
15	JS Saoura	5	−6	2
16	US Biskra	6	−9	2