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Olympique Akbou v Ben Aknoun

Olympique Akbou
2–1Full time
Ben Aknoun

Ligue 1 · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 18:31
Olympique Akbou 2–1 Ben Aknoun OLYMPIQUE AKBOU WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Olympique Akbou win50%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.369
The market’s Brier score0.398

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Olympique Akbou win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Olympique Akbou was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Olympique Akbou v Ben Aknoun
  4. 5′A goal for Ben Aknoun on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 24–25–50
  5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Olympique Akbou 0–1 Ben Aknoun
  6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Olympique Akbou win: 50% at kick-off, 24% now
  7. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Ben Aknoun win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Olympique Akbou win 24%)
  8. 6′We said Olympique Akbou at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–25–50
  9. 16′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Ben Aknoun
  10. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Olympique Akbou win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  11. 24′We said Olympique Akbou at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
  12. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 17–27–56
  13. 38′We said Olympique Akbou at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Olympique Akbou 0–1 Ben Aknoun
  15. 45′SECOND HALF Olympique Akbou 0–1 Ben Aknoun
  16. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+3' Ben Aknoun
  17. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Ben Aknoun
  18. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Olympique Akbou · On: M. Sediri · Off: T. Addadi
  19. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Olympique Akbou win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  20. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Ben Aknoun
  21. 53′We said Olympique Akbou at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
  22. 56′A goal for Olympique Akbou on 56′. 0–1 · 8–25–67
  23. 57′We said Olympique Akbou at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–49–18
  24. 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Olympique Akbou 1–1 Ben Aknoun
  25. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Olympique Akbou win: 50% at kick-off, 33% now
  26. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Ben Aknoun win 18%)
  27. 58′Olympique Akbou find the net on 58′. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–3
  28. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Olympique Akbou 2–1 Ben Aknoun
  29. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Olympique Akbou win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
  30. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Olympique Akbou win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 15%)
  31. 59′We published Olympique Akbou at 50%. Our model now makes it 83%. 2–1 · 83–15–3
  32. 59′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 83–15–3
  33. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Ben Aknoun
  34. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Olympique Akbou
  35. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Ben Aknoun · On: A. Oukali · Off: H. Selmi
  36. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Ben Aknoun · On: B. Boukaroum · Off: A. Djahnit
  37. 65′We published Olympique Akbou at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
  38. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Ben Aknoun · On: A. Zaouche · Off: R. Brahimi
  39. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Ben Aknoun · On: A. Djabout · Off: A. Saad
  40. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Olympique Akbou · On: G. Belgacem · Off: W. Zamoum
  41. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Olympique Akbou · On: B. Fonseca · Off: H. Messiad
  42. 77′We published Olympique Akbou at 50%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  43. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Olympique Akbou win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
  44. 84′We published Olympique Akbou at 50%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  45. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Olympique Akbou · On: I. Farhi · Off: F. Tahar
  46. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Olympique Akbou
  47. FTFULL TIME Olympique Akbou 2–1 Ben Aknoun
  48. FTOlympique Akbou 2–1 Ben Aknoun · Olympique Akbou win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympique Akbou are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olympique Akbou 50%, draw 27%, Ben Aknoun 23%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Olympique Akbou v Ben AknounBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off

Olympique Akbou win50%
Draw27%
Ben Aknoun win23%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 5

Line-ups

Olympique Akbou

Ben Aknoun

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olympique Akbou

Ben Aknoun

8Days since last match9

Last match: 8 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

Last match: 7 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Ben Aknoun4+16
11Olympique Akbou4−14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Olympique Akbou

Formation not confirmed

1 Y. Yesli

2 K. Diaw

5 A. Boutiche

7 R. Hitala

10 W. Zamoum

17 A. Belharrane

18 H. Messiad

19 F. Tahar

20 T. Addadi

21 M. W. Bencherifa

23 N. Zaalani

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · N. Mekideche

8 · I. Farhi

12 · M. Sediri

14 · H. Mouali

16 · B. Klileche

25 · M. Ouamri

26 · G. Belgacem

28 · B. Fonseca

37 · F. Laoufi

Ben Aknoun

Formation not confirmed

16 K. Boussouf

2 A. Chaaraoui

3 A. Tamimi

8 M. Benchaira

9 A. Saad

15 F. Talah

19 L. Adjout

20 A. Benabdi

21 R. Brahimi

22 H. Selmi

25 A. Djahnit

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · M. Medjadji

5 · A. Oukali

7 · A. Djabout

11 · A. Zaouche

13 · M. Gacem

17 · B. Boukaroum

18 · D. E. Mechid

23 · A. Boualleg

27 · A. Hachoud

Our number · olympique akbou winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 15 Oct 04:38 · locked at kick-off
50% The market49%
Us50%
Market49%

We make Olympique Akbou a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Olympique Akbou v Ben Aknoun1.49 – 0.91
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 3 SeptW1 D1 L2 · W1 D3 L0
Table places · points 4 v 611 v 8
The market · Olympique Akbou win49% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1716 OCT 15:05
Our probability · Olympique Akbou win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Olympique Akbou win50%49%+1
Draw27%31%−4
Ben Aknoun win23%21%+2
Over 2.5 goals43%37%+6
Both teams to score46%41%+5
Over 1.5 goals69%62%+7
Over 3.5 goals22%20%+2
Olympique Akbou or draw77%79%−2
Olympique Akbou clean sheet41%––
Ben Aknoun clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%
0123450 9.5 8.2 3.8 1 13.4 12.2 5.5 2 10.0 8.9 4.1 3 5.0 4.5 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Olympique Akbou down, Ben Aknoun across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsOLY 1–1 BEN · BEN 2–2 OLY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept

OLYMPIQUE AKBOU

WLLD2–0 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0

BEN AKNOUN

WDDD1–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1CR Belouizdad5+413
2MC Oran4+410
3USM Alger5+310
4MB Rouisset5+29
5MC Alger3+37
6CS Constantine5+17
7JS Kabylie4+17
8Ben Aknoun4+16
9ES Setif5+25
10Khenchela4+15
11Olympique Akbou4−14
12JS El Biar5−14
13Témouchent5−44
14ASO Chlef5−52
15JS Saoura4−52
16US Biskra5−62

The competition's standings before kick-off.