MC Oran v Olympique Akbou prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MC OranDrawOlympique Akbou

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · MC Oran 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MC Oran are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: MC Oran 46%, draw 31%, Olympique Akbou 23%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on MC Oran v Olympique AkbouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

MC Oran win46%

Draw31%

Olympique Akbou win23%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

MC Oran

Olympique Akbou

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mc oran winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make MC Oran a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · MC Oran v Olympique Akbou~~1.19 – 0.76

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 10~~1 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
MC Oran win	46%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Olympique Akbou win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
MC Oran or draw	77%	–	–
MC Oran clean sheet	47%	–	–
Olympique Akbou clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 14.9 10.6 4.2 1 16.6 13.0 4.8 2 10.0 7.5 2.9 3 4.0 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+MC Oran down, Olympique Akbou across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,315 Ligue 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.7% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

MC Oran at home: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Olympique Akbou away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for MC Oran, 0.76 for Olympique Akbou. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MCO 0–1 OLY · OLY 1–0 MCO · MCO 1–0 OLY · OLY 3–1 MCO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept

MC ORAN

WWDWWD2–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

OLYMPIQUE AKBOU

WLLDWW2–0 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MC Oran	6	+5	14
2	CR Belouizdad	6	+4	14
3	JS Kabylie	6	+7	13
4	MB Rouisset	7	+3	13
5	USM Alger	6	+3	11
6	Olympique Akbou	6	+3	10
7	JS El Biar	7	+1	8
8	Témouchent	7	−3	8
9	MC Alger	3	+3	7
10	Ben Aknoun	6	0	7
11	CS Constantine	7	−4	7
12	ES Setif	6	+1	5
13	Khenchela	6	−3	5
14	ASO Chlef	7	−5	4
15	JS Saoura	6	−6	3
16	US Biskra	6	−9	2