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MC Alger v Témouchent

MC Alger

1–0Full time

Témouchent

Ligue 1 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 22:30

MC Alger 1–0 Témouchent MC ALGER WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said MC Alger win~~66%

~~The market said~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.181

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.094

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said MC Alger win at 66%.
1′Little has changed for our model: MC Alger 66% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–22–10
1′KICK-OFF MC Alger v Témouchent
35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' MC Alger
36′We said MC Alger at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–35–11
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' MC Alger win: 66% at kick-off, 54% now
45′SECOND HALF MC Alger 0–0 Témouchent
46′🟨 YELLOW · 35' M. Mehdaoui · MC Alger
61′SUBSTITUTION · 57' MC Alger · On: B. A. Kohili · Off: Z. Naidji
63′SUBSTITUTION · 57' MC Alger · On: M. Bangoura · Off: M. Mehdaoui
63′SUBSTITUTION · 57' MC Alger · On: M. Zougrana · Off: S. Konate
67′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Témouchent
71′🟨 YELLOW · 68' M. Senhadji · Témouchent
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' MC Alger · On: M. Boucherit · Off: Z. Ferhat
76′⚽ GOAL · 77' MC Alger 0–0 Témouchent
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' MC Alger 1–0 Témouchent
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Témouchent · On: M. Toumi · Off: B. Friefer
89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' MC Alger · On: A. Satta · Off: C. Boukholda
90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' MC Alger
FTFULL TIME MC Alger 1–0 Témouchent
FTMC Alger 1–0 Témouchent · MC Alger win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

MC Alger win66%

Draw23%

Témouchent win11%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 20:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

MC Alger

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Ramdane

5 A. Abdellaoui

8 Z. Ferhat

17 C. Boukholda

19 A. Ghezala

20 M. Halaimia

21 M. Abdelkader

22 S. Konate

23 M. Mehdaoui

24 Z. Naidji

28 O. Benhaoua

Coach · –

Substitutes

78 · Y. Gourari Tebaa

36 · Y. Gassi

44 · A. Satta

7 · S. Bayazid

12 · M. Zougrana

11 · B. A. Kohili

15 · M. Boucherit

18 · M. Bangoura

27 · A. Menezla

Témouchent

Formation not confirmed

16 A. Morcely

2 M. Larbi

4 I. Chahrour

14 B. Baouche

15 K. Baaziz

21 A. Meddah

28 L. Bouziane

6 M. Senhadji

26 I. Saihi

10 B. Friefer

19 A. Barkat

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · F. Boukerrit

25 · H. Boutamina

8 · A. Berkoun

11 · M. H. Hedroug

22 · S. A. Aissaoui

24 · S. Safaga

9 · M. Zaalouk

20 · M. Itim

27 · M. Toumi

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

MC Alger

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Ramdane

5 A. Abdellaoui

8 Z. Ferhat

17 C. Boukholda

19 A. Ghezala

20 M. Halaimia

21 M. Abdelkader

22 S. Konate

23 M. Mehdaoui

24 Z. Naidji

28 O. Benhaoua

Coach · –

Substitutes

78 · Y. Gourari Tebaa

36 · Y. Gassi

44 · A. Satta

7 · S. Bayazid

12 · M. Zougrana

11 · B. A. Kohili

15 · M. Boucherit

18 · M. Bangoura

27 · A. Menezla

Témouchent

Formation not confirmed

16 A. Morcely

2 M. Larbi

4 I. Chahrour

14 B. Baouche

15 K. Baaziz

21 A. Meddah

28 L. Bouziane

6 M. Senhadji

26 I. Saihi

10 B. Friefer

19 A. Barkat

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · F. Boukerrit

25 · H. Boutamina

8 · A. Berkoun

11 · M. H. Hedroug

22 · S. A. Aissaoui

24 · S. Safaga

9 · M. Zaalouk

20 · M. Itim

27 · M. Toumi

Our number · mc alger winPublished 9 Oct 20:02

66% The market76%

Us66%

~~Market~~76%

We make MC Alger a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · mc alger win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 77% to 76% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
MC Alger win	66%	76%	−10
Draw	23%	18%	+5
Témouchent win	11%	7%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	39%	48%	−9
Both teams to score	32%	31%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	65%	71%	−6
Over 3.5 goals	20%	29%	−10
MC Alger or draw	89%	93%	−4
MC Alger clean sheet	60%	–	–
Témouchent clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.1%

0123450 11.5 5.6 1 18.1 9.3 2.5 2 15.2 7.7 2.0 3 8.9 4.4 4 4.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+MC Alger down, Témouchent across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,293 Ligue 1 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

MC Alger at home: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Témouchent away: 0.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for MC Alger, 0.52 for Témouchent. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligue 1

MC ALGER

WWDLWW3–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–0

TÉMOUCHENT

DLW1–1 · 0–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CR Belouizdad	4	+3	10
2	CS Constantine	4	+3	7
3	MC Oran	3	+3	7
4	USM Alger	4	+2	7
5	Ben Aknoun	4	+1	6
6	MB Rouisset	4	0	6
7	ES Setif	4	+2	4
8	JS El Biar	4	0	4
9	Olympique Akbou	4	−1	4
10	Témouchent	3	−1	4
11	MC Alger	1	+2	3
12	JS Kabylie	2	0	3
13	Khenchela	3	−1	2
14	JS Saoura	3	−4	2
15	US Biskra	4	−5	2
16	ASO Chlef	3	−4	1