MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MB RouissetDrawBen Aknoun

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:45

Before kick-off · Match result · MB Rouisset 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MB Rouisset are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: MB Rouisset 49%, draw 27%, Ben Aknoun 24%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on MB Rouisset v Ben AknounBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

MB Rouisset win49%

Draw27%

Ben Aknoun win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:45

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

MB Rouisset

Ben Aknoun

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligue 1 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	MB Rouisset	7	+3	13
10	Ben Aknoun	6	0	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mb rouisset winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make MB Rouisset a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun~~1.48 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 7~~4 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
MB Rouisset win	49%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Ben Aknoun win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
MB Rouisset or draw	76%	–	–
MB Rouisset clean sheet	39%	–	–
Ben Aknoun clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.8%

0123450 9.5 8.2 4.0 1 12.8 12.4 5.8 2 9.6 8.9 4.2 3 4.7 4.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+MB Rouisset down, Ben Aknoun across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,315 Ligue 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.7% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

MB Rouisset at home: 1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Ben Aknoun away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for MB Rouisset, 0.95 for Ben Aknoun. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BEN 3–2 MBR · MBR 0–0 BEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligue 1 this season · since 3 Sept

MB ROUISSET

WLWWWD2–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

BEN AKNOUN

WDDDLD1–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MC Oran	6	+5	14
2	CR Belouizdad	6	+4	14
3	JS Kabylie	6	+7	13
4	MB Rouisset	7	+3	13
5	USM Alger	6	+3	11
6	Olympique Akbou	6	+3	10
7	JS El Biar	7	+1	8
8	Témouchent	7	−3	8
9	MC Alger	3	+3	7
10	Ben Aknoun	6	0	7
11	CS Constantine	7	−4	7
12	ES Setif	6	+1	5
13	Khenchela	6	−3	5
14	ASO Chlef	7	−5	4
15	JS Saoura	6	−6	3
16	US Biskra	6	−9	2