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JS Kabylie v ASO Chlef

JS Kabylie

1–0Full time

ASO Chlef

Ligue 1 · FRI 9 OCT · Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30

JS Kabylie 1–0 ASO Chlef JS KABYLIE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said JS Kabylie win~~59%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.257

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.220

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said JS Kabylie win at 59%.
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' JS Kabylie win: 59% at kick-off, 84% now
45′SECOND HALF JS Kabylie 1–0 ASO Chlef
46′⚽ GOAL · 12' JS Kabylie 1–0 ASO Chlef · A. Mahious
46′🟨 YELLOW · 47' ASO Chlef
51′🟨 YELLOW · 47' A. Hamdani · ASO Chlef
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' JS Kabylie · On: A. Belhocini · Off: A. Mahious
72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' JS Kabylie · On: A. Belhocini · Off: A. Mahious
72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' JS Kabylie
76′🟨 YELLOW · 72' JS Kabylie
77′🟨 YELLOW · 78' ASO Chlef
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' ASO Chlef · On: K. Avotor · Off: M. Belaribi
85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' JS Kabylie · On: M. Bott · Off: B. Messaoudi
86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' JS Kabylie · On: M. Bott · Off: B. Messaoudi
87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' JS Kabylie · On: M. Bott · Off: B. Messaoudi
87′🟨 YELLOW · 88' JS Kabylie
91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' ASO Chlef · On: Y. Belaribi · Off: C. Bekkouche
FTFULL TIME JS Kabylie 1–0 ASO Chlef
FTJS Kabylie 1–0 ASO Chlef · JS Kabylie win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

JS Kabylie win59%

Draw25%

ASO Chlef win16%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:45

Venue · Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

JS Kabylie

Formation not confirmed

16 A. Guendouz

24 C. Boulkaboul

28 R. Benchaa

23 N. El Abd

26 A. Sadahine

25 S. Benchamma

8 A. Bada

10 B. Bouamama

11 L. Akhrib

9 B. Messaoudi

18 A. Mahious

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · S. Benrabah

17 · M. Hamidi

22 · A. Bendouma

4 · M. Bott

13 · A. Abeid

21 · A. Belhocini

14 · A. Msanga

27 · O. Malki

– · Y. Lagha

ASO Chlef

Formation not confirmed

30 C. Rahmani

3 O. Benattia

13 S. Lamrani

26 A. Debbari

20 B. Brahimi

14 O. Diakite

6 M. Belaribi

12 I. Moussa

15 C. Bekkouche

2 A. Benchouya

10 I. Larbi

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · A. Tergou

8 · M. Abboub

22 · E. Ledlum

4 · Z. Abdelli

17 · S. Aiboud

27 · A. Feddal

25 · K. Avotor

11 · Y. Belaribi

28 · A. Hamdani

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

JS Kabylie

Formation not confirmed

16 A. Guendouz

24 C. Boulkaboul

28 R. Benchaa

23 N. El Abd

26 A. Sadahine

25 S. Benchamma

8 A. Bada

10 B. Bouamama

11 L. Akhrib

9 B. Messaoudi

18 A. Mahious

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · S. Benrabah

17 · M. Hamidi

22 · A. Bendouma

4 · M. Bott

13 · A. Abeid

21 · A. Belhocini

14 · A. Msanga

27 · O. Malki

– · Y. Lagha

ASO Chlef

Formation not confirmed

30 C. Rahmani

3 O. Benattia

13 S. Lamrani

26 A. Debbari

20 B. Brahimi

14 O. Diakite

6 M. Belaribi

12 I. Moussa

15 C. Bekkouche

2 A. Benchouya

10 I. Larbi

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · A. Tergou

8 · M. Abboub

22 · E. Ledlum

4 · Z. Abdelli

17 · S. Aiboud

27 · A. Feddal

25 · K. Avotor

11 · Y. Belaribi

28 · A. Hamdani

Our number · js kabylie winPublished 9 Oct 17:35

59% The market62%

Us59%

~~Market~~62%

We make JS Kabylie a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · js kabylie win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 64% to 63% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JS Kabylie win	59%	62%	−3
Draw	25%	25%	0
ASO Chlef win	16%	13%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	40%	44%	−4
Both teams to score	40%	40%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	67%	67%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	20%	25%	−5
JS Kabylie or draw	84%	87%	−3
JS Kabylie clean sheet	50%	–	–
ASO Chlef clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.9%

0123450 10.4 6.9 2.5 1 15.9 11.2 3.9 2 12.8 8.8 3.1 3 6.9 4.7 4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JS Kabylie down, ASO Chlef across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,293 Ligue 1 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 1.70 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

JS Kabylie at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). ASO Chlef away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for JS Kabylie, 0.70 for ASO Chlef. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ASO 1–2 JSK · JSK 2–1 ASO · JSK 1–0 ASO · ASO 1–0 JSK

Form · last six in Ligue 1

JS KABYLIE

LWWDWL1–2 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

ASO CHLEF

LLLDLL0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 0–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CR Belouizdad	4	+3	10
2	CS Constantine	4	+3	7
3	MC Oran	3	+3	7
4	USM Alger	4	+2	7
5	Ben Aknoun	4	+1	6
6	MB Rouisset	4	0	6
7	ES Setif	4	+2	4
8	JS El Biar	4	0	4
9	Olympique Akbou	4	−1	4
10	Témouchent	3	−1	4
11	MC Alger	1	+2	3
12	JS Kabylie	2	0	3
13	Khenchela	3	−1	2
14	JS Saoura	3	−4	2
15	US Biskra	4	−5	2
16	ASO Chlef	3	−4	1