JS El Biar v MC Oran

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said JS El Biar win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: JS El Biar 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF JS El Biar v MC Oran
4. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' JS El Biar win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
5. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' JS El Biar
6. 45′HALF-TIME JS El Biar 0–0 MC Oran
7. 46′SECOND HALF JS El Biar 0–0 MC Oran
8. 47′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–40–22
9. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' JS El Biar · On: K. Merzougui · Off: I. Cissoko
10. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was JS El Biar win 39%)
11. 55′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–45–20
12. 55′MC Oran are down to ten from 55′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 34–45–20
13. 55′🟥 RED CARD · 55' MC Oran
14. 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–46–20
15. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' JS El Biar win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
16. 64′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
17. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' JS El Biar
18. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' MC Oran · On: C. Aoudjane · Off: I. Saadi
19. 72′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–63–14
20. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' JS El Biar win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
21. 76′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–12
22. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' JS El Biar · On: M. Kaddour · Off: A. Mammeri
23. 81′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–9
24. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' JS El Biar win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
25. 85′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
26. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' MC Oran · On: A. Bourdim · Off: M. Abdelkader
27. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' JS El Biar · On: B. Bakhtouchi · Off: A. Bangoura
28. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' MC Oran · On: M. Keniche · Off: J. Aguieb
29. 91′We said JS El Biar at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
30. FTFULL TIME JS El Biar 0–0 MC Oran
31. FTJS El Biar 0–0 MC Oran · JS El Biar win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.