JS El Biar v CR Belouizdad prediction · Ligue 1

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 18:01

JS El Biar 2–3 CR Belouizdad CR BELOUIZDAD WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CR Belouizdad win~~41%

~~The market said~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.527

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.372

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 37 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CR Belouizdad win at 41%.
1′A goal for CR Belouizdad on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–19–69
2′We said CR Belouizdad at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 12–19–69
7′M. Ben Hammouda scores for CR Belouizdad on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–69
10′We said CR Belouizdad at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 11–19–69
12′11′ and it is 1–1: K. Aribi on the scoresheet for JS El Biar. 1–1 · 30–30–39
14′Little has changed for our model: CR Belouizdad 41% before kick-off, 39% now. 1–1 · 30–31–39
38′CR Belouizdad find the net on 36′. 1–1. 1–1 · 27–39–34
40′We said CR Belouizdad at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–2 · 7–20–73
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 73% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
42′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 7–20–74
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 73% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 74% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 74% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 74% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
45′SECOND HALF JS El Biar 1–2 CR Belouizdad
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
46′🟨 YELLOW · 47' JS El Biar
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' JS El Biar · On: I. Abbaci · Off: D. Boukerma
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' CR Belouizdad win: 41% at kick-off, 69% now
55′⚽ GOAL · 56' JS El Biar 1–2 CR Belouizdad
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' JS El Biar 2–2 CR Belouizdad · K. Aribi
57′🟨 YELLOW · 58' JS El Biar
61′🟨 YELLOW · 62' CR Belouizdad
63′🟨 YELLOW · 64' JS El Biar
65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' M. Guemroud · JS El Biar
67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' JS El Biar · On: I. Cissoko · Off: D. Mouaki
67′⚽ GOAL · 69' JS El Biar 2–2 CR Belouizdad
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' JS El Biar 2–3 CR Belouizdad · F. El Melali
72′⚽ GOAL · 69' JS El Biar 2–3 CR Belouizdad · F. El Melali
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' JS El Biar · On: A. Oukil · Off: A. Mammeri
79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' CR Belouizdad · On: M. Y. Chelfaoui · Off: F. El Melali
84′🟨 YELLOW · 85' JS El Biar
84′🟨 YELLOW · 85' CR Belouizdad
90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' JS El Biar · On: M. Kaddour · Off: A. Kante Corrected
90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' CR Belouizdad
91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' CR Belouizdad
95′🟨 YELLOW · 96' JS El Biar
FTFULL TIME JS El Biar 2–3 CR Belouizdad
FTJS El Biar 2–3 CR Belouizdad · CR Belouizdad win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 15:02 · locked at kick-off

JS El Biar win32%

Draw28%

CR Belouizdad win41%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 15:00

Line-ups

JS El Biar

CR Belouizdad

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

JS El Biar

CR Belouizdad

5Days since last match5

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CR Belouizdad	4	+3	10
10	JS El Biar	4	0	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

JS El Biar

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Eddine

5 B. Cisse

6 F. Abdat

9 D. Mouaki

10 A. Bangoura

14 K. Aribi

15 M. Bouchina

22 A. Kante

25 D. Boukerma

26 A. Mammeri

27 M. Guemroud

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · M. Reguieg

8 · O. Chita

11 · M. Kaddour

13 · I. Cissoko

17 · A. Oukil

24 · H. Mellouk

28 · I. Abbaci

29 · T. Tahar

30 · T. Moussaoui

CR Belouizdad

Formation not confirmed

30 F. Chaal

3 H. Benayada

23 S. Bouchar

4 R. Akacem

21 Y. Laouafi

27 D. Kaassis

6 M. Boudjemaa

12 K. Boualia

29 B. Boukerchaoui

10 F. El Melali

20 M. Ben Hammouda

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · T. Bousseder

13 · H. Elkouacher

9 · L. Boussouar

17 · M. Y. Chelfaoui

18 · S. Boukhanchouche

11 · A. Meziane

15 · B. Bendahmane

5 · A. Kelaleche

7 · F. Etouga

Our number · cr belouizdad winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off

41% The market50%

Us41%

~~Market~~50%

We make CR Belouizdad a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · cr belouizdad win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JS El Biar win	32%	20%	+12
Draw	28%	30%	−2
CR Belouizdad win	41%	50%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	42%	36%	+6
Both teams to score	47%	41%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	68%	61%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	22%	19%	+3
JS El Biar or draw	59%	50%	+10
JS El Biar clean sheet	29%	–	–
CR Belouizdad clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 10.0 11.9 7.6 3.4 1 10.2 12.6 7.9 3.5 2 5.6 6.8 4.3 3 2.1 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JS El Biar down, CR Belouizdad across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,295 Ligue 1 matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

JS El Biar at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). CR Belouizdad away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for JS El Biar, 1.29 for CR Belouizdad. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meeting of these two in Ligue 1 since 2021 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligue 1

JS EL BIAR

LLWD0–2 · 0–2 · 4–0 · 2–2

CR BELOUIZDAD

DDDWWW1–1 · 0–0 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CR Belouizdad	4	+3	10
2	CS Constantine	4	+3	7
3	MC Oran	3	+3	7
4	USM Alger	4	+2	7
5	MC Alger	2	+3	6
6	Ben Aknoun	4	+1	6
7	JS Kabylie	3	+1	6
8	MB Rouisset	4	0	6
9	ES Setif	4	+2	4
10	JS El Biar	4	0	4
11	Olympique Akbou	4	−1	4
12	Témouchent	4	−2	4
13	Khenchela	3	−1	2
14	JS Saoura	3	−4	2
15	US Biskra	4	−5	2
16	ASO Chlef	4	−5	1