Vora v Vllaznia Shkodër prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VoraDrawVllaznia Shkodër

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Vora 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Vora just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Vora 36%, draw 30%, Vllaznia Shkodër 34%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Vora v Vllaznia ShkodërBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Vora win36%

Draw30%

Vllaznia Shkodër win34%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueVora Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vora

Vllaznia Shkodër

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Superliga (Albania)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Vllaznia Shkodër	8	−4	8
9	Vora	8	−5	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vora winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Vora a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vora v Vllaznia Shkodër~~1.15 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 8~~9 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Vora win

Published at 37%, 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vora win	36%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Vllaznia Shkodër win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Vora or draw	66%	–	–
Vora clean sheet	33%	–	–
Vllaznia Shkodër clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%

0123450 11.4 10.6 6.5 2.5 1 10.9 14.0 7.4 2.8 2 6.8 7.6 4.2 3 2.7 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vora down, Vllaznia Shkodër across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 960 Superliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.7% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 0.75 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vora at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Vllaznia Shkodër away: 0.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Vora, 1.12 for Vllaznia Shkodër. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~0.75

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~0 of 4

~~Last meetings~~VOR 0–0 VLL · VLL 1–0 VOR · VOR 0–0 VLL · VLL 2–0 VOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 5 Sept

VORA

LLDDWL0–4 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–1

VLLAZNIA SHKODËR

LLLWLW2–3 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Teuta Durrës	8	+12	20
2	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	7	+10	18
3	Dinamo Tirana	7	+2	12
4	Tirana	8	0	11
5	Laci	8	−3	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	−1	9
7	AF Elbasani	8	−1	8
8	Vllaznia Shkodër	8	−4	8
9	Vora	8	−5	8
10	Partizani	8	−10	4