Skenderbeu Korce v Laci prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Skenderbeu KorceDrawLaci

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Skenderbeu Korce 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Skenderbeu Korce are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Skenderbeu Korce 39%, draw 32%, Laci 29%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Skenderbeu Korce v LaciBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Skenderbeu Korce win39%

Draw32%

Laci win29%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Skenderbeu Korce

Laci

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Superliga (Albania)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Laci	8	−3	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	−1	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · skenderbeu korce winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Skenderbeu Korce a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Skenderbeu Korce v Laci~~1.14 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~6 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Skenderbeu Korce win

Published at 38%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Skenderbeu Korce win	39%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Laci win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Skenderbeu Korce or draw	71%	–	–
Skenderbeu Korce clean sheet	39%	–	–
Laci clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%

0123450 13.7 10.9 5.6 1 13.2 14.1 6.2 2.0 2 8.0 7.5 3.5 3 3.1 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Skenderbeu Korce down, Laci across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 960 Superliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.7% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Skenderbeu Korce at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Laci away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Skenderbeu Korce, 0.95 for Laci. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SKE 0–1 LAC · LAC 2–1 SKE · SKE 1–0 LAC · LAC 1–2 SKE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 4 Sept

SKENDERBEU KORCE

LDDLWW1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

LACI

LWLLLW1–3 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Teuta Durrës	8	+12	20
2	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	7	+10	18
3	Dinamo Tirana	7	+2	12
4	Tirana	8	0	11
5	Laci	8	−3	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	−1	9
7	AF Elbasani	8	−1	8
8	Vllaznia Shkodër	8	−4	8
9	Vora	8	−5	8
10	Partizani	8	−10	4