Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Egnatia RrogozhinëDrawTeuta Durrës

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 48%, draw 30%, Teuta Durrës 22%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta DurrësBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win48%

Draw30%

Teuta Durrës win22%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueDemrozi Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Teuta Durrës

7Days since last match5

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

Last match: 24 Oct · Superliga (Albania)

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · egnatia rrogozhinë winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës~~1.31 – 0.79

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 31 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 18 v 19~~2 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win	48%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Teuta Durrës win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw	78%	–	–
Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet	45%	–	–
Teuta Durrës clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.1%

0123450 13.3 8.8 3.9 1 15.1 13.4 5.0 2 10.4 8.2 3.3 3 4.6 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Egnatia Rrogozhinë down, Teuta Durrës across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 956 Superliga matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home: 2.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Teuta Durrës away: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 0.79 for Teuta Durrës. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TEU 3–2 EGN · EGN 4–2 TEU · EGN 0–0 TEU · TEU 1–2 EGN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 31 Aug

EGNATIA RROGOZHINË

WWLWWW3–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–1

TEUTA DURRËS

WWWWWD3–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Teuta Durrës	7	+12	19
2	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	7	+10	18
3	Dinamo Tirana	7	+2	12
4	Tirana	7	+2	11
5	Laci	8	−3	10
6	Skenderbeu Korce	8	−1	9
7	Vora	8	−5	8
8	AF Elbasani	7	−1	7
9	Vllaznia Shkodër	7	−6	5
10	Partizani	8	−10	4