Pogradeci v Sopoti Librazhd

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pogradeci win at 65%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Pogradeci 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–21–14
3. 1′KICK-OFF Pogradeci v Sopoti Librazhd
4. 10′Pogradeci score on 10′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–10–4
5. 10′We said Pogradeci at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–10–4
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Pogradeci 1–0 Sopoti Librazhd
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 86% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 85–11–3
9. 40′Sopoti Librazhd find the net on 40′. 1–1. 1–1 · 52–33–15
10. 40′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 1–1 · 52–33–15
11. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Pogradeci 1–1 Sopoti Librazhd
12. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 52% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Pogradeci 1–1 Sopoti Librazhd
14. 46′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–36–14
15. 46′SECOND HALF Pogradeci 1–1 Sopoti Librazhd
16. 51′A goal for Sopoti Librazhd on 50′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 17–29–53
17. 51′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–2 · 17–29–53
18. 51′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 17–29–53
19. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Pogradeci 1–2 Sopoti Librazhd
20. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 17% now
21. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Sopoti Librazhd win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Pogradeci win 17%)
22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
23. 57′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–29–57
24. 61′Pogradeci score on 61′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 40–48–13
25. 61′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 2–2 · 40–48–13
26. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Pogradeci 2–2 Sopoti Librazhd
27. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 40% now
28. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Sopoti Librazhd win 13%)
29. 62′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–49–13
30. 63′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 38–50–12
31. 66′Pogradeci are down to ten from 66′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–2 · 35–53–12
32. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 35% now
33. 66′🟥 RED CARD · 66' Pogradeci
34. 68′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–55–11
35. 68′🟥 RED CARD · 66' F. Xhafa · Sopoti Librazhd
36. 72′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–61–10
37. 76′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–67–9
38. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 24% now
39. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Pogradeci win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
40. 87′We said Pogradeci at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–87–4
41. FTFULL TIME Pogradeci 2–2 Sopoti Librazhd
42. FTPogradeci 2–2 Sopoti Librazhd · Pogradeci win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.