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Korabi Peshkopi v Bylis
Korabi Peshkopi
Bylis1st Division · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bylis win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Bylis was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 32–31–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Korabi Peshkopi v Bylis
- 27′PENALTY MISSED · 27' Bylis
- 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Bylis win 33%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Korabi Peshkopi 0–0 Bylis
- 46′SECOND HALF Korabi Peshkopi 0–0 Bylis
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Bylis win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 55′We said Bylis at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 23–52–25
- 58′We said Bylis at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 22–54–24
- 68′We said Bylis at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 17–64–19
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Bylis win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 75′We said Bylis at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–72–14
- 82′We said Bylis at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Bylis win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 89′We said Bylis at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Korabi Peshkopi 0–0 Bylis
- FTKorabi Peshkopi 0–0 Bylis · Bylis win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Bylis just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Korabi Peshkopi 33%, draw 31%, Bylis 37%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Korabi Peshkopi win33%
Bylis win37%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30
RoundMatchday 6
Match timeline
All events
Korabi PeshkopiMIN
BylisEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Korabi Peshkopi
Bylis
Last match: 11 Oct · 1st Division (Albania)
Last match: 10 Oct · 1st Division (Albania)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bylis a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 36%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korabi Peshkopi win | 33% | 37% | −4 |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | +1 |
| Bylis win | 37% | 33% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 40% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 48% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 65% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 22% | −5 |
| Korabi Peshkopi or draw | 63% | 67% | −4 |
| Korabi Peshkopi clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Bylis clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · 1st Division this season · since 5 Sept
KORABI PESHKOPI
BYLIS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 2 | Besa Kavajë | 6 | +8 | 10 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 6 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Bylis | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | FK Kukesi | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 | Kastrioti Krujë | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 5 | −3 | 7 |
| 8 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Burreli | 5 | −1 | 6 |
| 10 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 11 | Sopoti Librazhd | 5 | −4 | 5 |
| 12 | Oriku | 6 | −13 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
Flamurtari
FK Kukesi
Kastrioti Krujë
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Burreli
Besëlidhja Lezhë
Sopoti Librazhd
Oriku