Besëlidhja Lezhë v Kastrioti Krujë

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Besëlidhja Lezhë win at 40%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Besëlidhja Lezhë was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–27–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Besëlidhja Lezhë v Kastrioti Krujë
4. 18′Kastrioti Krujë find the net on 18′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–22–63
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Besëlidhja Lezhë 0–1 Kastrioti Krujë
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Besëlidhja Lezhë win: 40% at kick-off, 16% now
7. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Kastrioti Krujë win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Besëlidhja Lezhë win 16%)
8. 19′We said Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–22–63
9. 24′We said Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–64
10. 25′A goal for Besëlidhja Lezhë on 25′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–33–31
11. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Besëlidhja Lezhë 1–1 Kastrioti Krujë
12. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Besëlidhja Lezhë win: 40% at kick-off, 36% now
13. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Kastrioti Krujë win 29%)
14. 48′F. Alidema scores for Besëlidhja Lezhë on 25′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–42–27
15. 49′Much as we predicted: Besëlidhja Lezhë was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 31% now. 1–1 · 31–43–27
16. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Besëlidhja Lezhë win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
17. 51′Besëlidhja Lezhë score on 50′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 74–20–6
18. 51′We published Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. Our model now makes it 74%. 2–1 · 74–20–6
19. 51′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 74–20–6
20. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Besëlidhja Lezhë 2–1 Kastrioti Krujë
21. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Besëlidhja Lezhë win: 40% at kick-off, 74% now
22. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Besëlidhja Lezhë win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
23. 52′Besëlidhja Lezhë find the net on 52′. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
24. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Besëlidhja Lezhë 3–1 Kastrioti Krujë
25. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Besëlidhja Lezhë win: 40% at kick-off, 94% now
26. 53′We published Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
27. 53′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 94–5–1
28. 55′We said Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–47–25 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
29. 56′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 28–48–25 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
30. 56′We published Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
31. 59′A goal for Besëlidhja Lezhë on 59′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
32. 59′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 99–1–0
33. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Besëlidhja Lezhë 4–1 Kastrioti Krujë
34. 64′We published Besëlidhja Lezhë at 40%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
35. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Besëlidhja Lezhë win: 40% at kick-off, over 99% now
36. FTFULL TIME Besëlidhja Lezhë 4–1 Kastrioti Krujë
37. FTBesëlidhja Lezhë 4–1 Kastrioti Krujë · Besëlidhja Lezhë win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.